Terrorism tends to evolve in waves. The ISIS brand of terrorism is bound to wane too. It has lost much of its territory, income and tens of thousands of fighters. Its media output has decreased significantly. But what comes next? The preconditions for its success in most continents are still in place. Will another organization gain from ISIS’s decline – or will its virtual caliphate continue to inspire new recruits? Will it go underground and wait for chances to attack? Will lone actors be the face of a new wave of terrorism? Or will juvenile delinquency fill the void? Or will enduring polarization boost other forms of political violence and terrorism?
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